Showing posts with label Japanese Grand Prix 2015. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Japanese Grand Prix 2015. Show all posts

Friday, 2 October 2015

2015 Japanese Grand Prix - Race Analysis: Team by Team - Mercedes back to normal as Red Bull come out losers in Suzuka.

The 2015 Japanese Grand Prix was a good race for some, and one to forget for others. Lets go team by team with analysis and see who came out winners.
Race winner: Lewis Hamilton.
Mercedes - Lewis Hamilton, 1st and Nico Rosberg, 2nd

It was back to usual running for the Silver Arrows at Suzuka as they picked up there 8th 1, 2 finish this season. The circuit which demands power as well as downforce was a much better suit than Singapore to Mercedes package. Nico Rosberg took the pole from Lewis Hamilton but lost the advantage right from the start. Lewis pushed Nico wide on the exit on Turn 2 and he dropped 4th behind Vettel and Bottas. Rosberg jumped Bottas and Vettel in his first and second pit stops to finish 2nd, whilst Hamilton led comfortably throughout to take 1st.
Mercedes drivers Lewis Hamilton (left) and Nico Rosberg (right)
Ferrari - Sebastian Vettel, 3rd and Kimi Raikkonen, 4th

Ferrari had to play second fiddle to Mercedes in Suzuka. After a dominant race in Singapore many people were interested to see if the Scuderia's pace was permanent. It turned out to be a fairytale and Ferrari never looked threatening all weekend. Both Vettel and Raikkonen proved that there long run pace is much better than 1 lap pace after qualifying saw them only manage 4th and 6th respectively. Vettel jumped Bottas on the start and found himself 2nd behind Hamilton. He stayed there most of the race and got caught napping in the second pit window as Ferrari were too slow to protect from Mercedes undercut and he eventually finished 3rd. Kimi however only went forward, he managed to go from 6th to 5th off the start, and then play the undercut perfectly to jump Bottas in the second stops and finish 4th. Since Ferrari choose to undercut Bottas with Raikkonen, they had to wait an extra lap to box Vettel which cost him 2nd.
Ferrari driver Sebastian Vettel locks up.
Williams - Felipe Massa, 17th and Valtteri Bottas, 5th

Williams definitely did not have a good day after qualifying promised a lot. The team looked to be on par with Ferrari in qualifying as Bottas and Massa took 3rd and 5th respectively. Massa's day got off badly as he touched tires with Ricciardo off the start, puncturing his front right and dropping him to last. He never recovered and only overtook both Manors to finish 17th. Valtteri Bottas pitted early on lap 12 from 3rd to protect himself from an undercut from Nico Rosberg in 4th. 4 laps later Rosberg behind pit and it proved to early for Williams as Rosberg caught and overtook Bottas on lap 17 down the inside of the final chicane. Bottas would then be jumped by Raikkonen in the second stops and only managed to finish 5th.
Williams Driver Felipe Massa and his first lap puncture.
Red Bull - Daniel Ricciardo, 15th and Daniil Kvyat, 13th

Red Bull's promising FP3 pace was prevented from being turned into strong race results by a heavy crash for Kvyat in qualifying which saw him start from the pitlane and Ricciardo receiving a puncture off the start from Felipe Massa. Daniel Kvyat's race didn't get better after his big qualifying crash as he had brake problems throughout the race which saw him locking up and subsequently struggling on tires. However Kvyat kept fighting and managed a sneaky move on Marcus Ericsson late in the race when the Sauber driver slowed down to let Kimi Raikkonen through, Kvyat managed to also sneak through securing himself 13th place. Daniel Ricciardo didn't have an exciting race until the last lap where he made a dive from miles back on the brakes on Marcus Ericsson. The Sauber engineers thought Ricciardo was attempting to take there driver out. The move didn't stick and he settled for 15th. These results saw the team drop further behind Williams in the constructors and put Force India in a position to attack for the 4th place spot.
Daniil Kvyat's car is recovered after his heavy crash in qualifying.
Force India - Nico Hulkenberg, 6th and Sergio Perez, 12th

Force India knew they would be a strong prospect at Suzuka as they had a strong engine and aero package. It didn't go 100% to plan though as Sergio Perez became the 3rd victim of punctures off the start and consequently he found himself in the gravel of Turn 1 and in last place. It was the opposite for Nico Hulkenberg as he managed to go from 13th on the grid to 6th place in the opening laps. Hulkenberg then knuckled down and had a relatively quiet race all the while holding onto 6th place proving to be the best of the rest behind Mercedes, Ferrari and the Williams of Bottas. Sergio Perez however had an action packed race as he fought his way through the field to eventually a strong 12th place. Perez indefinitely provided the best battle of the race as he attempted to get by Marcus Ericsson with Daniil Kvyat behind him. Perez caught Ericsson at the end of lap 42 and began to pressure him. Lap 44 Perez attempted a move round the outside of Turn 1 and 2 but brilliantly driving from Ericsson saw him hold position. Perez tucked in behind the Sauber driver up to lap 50 when he finally made a move stick as Ericsson ran just inches wide at Spoon, a small mistake that saw Perez get by. Perez ran out of laps to challenge the much slower Alonso for 11th and even Sainz for 1 championship point.
Force India's Sergio Perez
Lotus - Romain Grosjean, 7th and Pastor Maldonado, 8th

The last few weeks had been stressful ones for the Lotus team as they continued to have money debacles. After being locked out of there hospitality centers at the track the last thing the team needed was a bad result. However both Grosjean and Maldonado pulled together to find Lotus's first double points finish of the season, giving the team something to smile about. Like Hulkenberg both Lotus drivers drove quiet races and didn't have much action. Romain Grosjean finished 7th and recorded his 7th points finish of the season whilst Maldonado finished behind his team mate in 8th and recorded only his 3rd points finish of 2015.
Romain Grosjean of Lotus.
Toro Rosso - Max Verstappen, 9th and Carlos Sainz, 10th

The young guns of Formula 1 gave us a great show again in Suzuka as Verstappen went from 17th on the grid after a grid penalty and problems in qualifying to a 9th place finish. Sainz backed Verstappen up by finishing just behind him 10th. Carlos Sainz had some real pace during the race as he briefly held the fastest lap after his first stop. He also pulled off the first overtake off the race on Alonso round the outside of Turn 1. Verstappen showed some good racing intellect by pulling off a text book undercut on Felipe Nasr in the first stops. Overall not the most exciting day for the young guns, but a double points finish cannot be argued with.
Toro Rosso driver Carlos Sainz.
Sauber - Marcus Ericsson, 14th and Felipe Nasr, 20th (retired but was classified)

Sauber didn't score any points in Suzuka after a disappointing qualifying which saw both cars out in Q1. The team showed fight during the race with Marcus Ericsson managing to hold Sergio Perez and Daniil Kvyat up from lap 42 all the way through to lap 50 which effectively ended any chances for Perez to score points purely from brilliant defending. Felipe Nasr's day didn't get to much better from being jumped by Verstappen and Button in the pits after overtaking both of them round the outside of Turn 1. His race came to an end just laps from the finish with car trouble. He was classified as he did cover 90% of the race distance.

Sauber driver Marcus Ericsson.

McLaren - Fernando Alonso, 11th and Jenson Button, 16th

Not even a home race for Honda could see them pull something special out of the bag as the McLaren team continued to struggle at Suzuka. Alonso did well to gain 3 positions from his starting place of 14th and finish just outside points in 11th whilst Jenson Button could only manage a 16th place finish. The team were embarrassed by Fernando Alonso commenting that "They pass me on the straights like GP2, very embarrassing". The team was relatively quiet all weekend apart from Alonso's comments.
McLaren driver Jenson Button.
Manor - Will Stevens, 19th and Alexander Rossi, 18th

Last but not least was Manor-Marussia who again finished last 18th and 19th will Alexander Rossi beating his team mate Will Stevens after the brit was handed a penalty. Stevens did lead his team mate most of the race until a high speed spin at 130R which he managed to keep on the race track and stop facing the right way. It was a real bullet dodge as he only lost between 5 and 10 seconds from what could have been a heavy crash. The Manor's were quiet all race and we didn't see much action from them.
Manor driver, Alexander Rossi on the grid.
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Sunday, 27 September 2015

2015 Japanese Grand Prix - Race Analysis: Hamilton wins comfortably in Suzuka as Ferrari don't challenge.

The 2015 Japanese Grand Prix has finished and it saw Lewis Hamilton finish 1st for the 41st time, equaling the great Ayrton Senna's record. It was the 8th 1, 2 for Mercedes this season with Nico Rosberg finishing 2nd. Sebastian Vettel picked up another podium for the Scuderia.
Race winner Lewis Hamilton.
The race was held over 53 laps and Lewis Hamilton led every lap. Lewis got the edge on pole sitter Nico Rosberg from the start when they went side by side into Turns 1 and 2. Lewis went up the inside and he squeezed Nico right out onto the curb, dropping him to 4th by the time they reached the esses. Vettel got the jump from 4th on Valtteri Bottas and he was ahead of the fin by Turn 1.

The first lap saw 3 punctures for Daniel Ricciardo, Felipe Massa and Sergio Perez. They all pitted on lap 1. This saw the likes of Maldonado, Hulkenberg and Alonso the big gainers off the line, all going into the points by the end of lap 1.
The race start.
Hamilton set the pace early with the fastest lap and he pulled away from Vettel straight away. The first overtake we saw was from Marcus Ericsson as he passed Fernando Alonso round the outside at Turn 1. As we neared the 10 lap mark many people were pitting, including Valterri Bottas who undercut from 3rd trying to get in front of Vettel in 2nd. This also protected him from Rosberg in 4th. Bottas didn't get Vettel but he definitely closed up through the pit stop phase. Some people opted for the hards in the 2nd stint (Raikkonen, Rosberg, Vettel) and some opted for the mediums (Hamilton, Bottas)

In the 2nd stint Rosberg really closed up on Bottas for 3rd place and on lap 17 made an overtake through the last chicane. Rosberg then undercut his 2nd stop and Ferrari were caught napping as Sebastian Vettel was jumped by the now flying Rosberg. However it was't all bad for the Italian tram as they managed to get Raikkonen ahead of Bottas for 4th.

However Rosberg's pace wasn't enough and he finished a mere 16 seconds off Hamilton. Vettel did close the gap considerably to his compatriate for 2nd place, but didn't make a move.
Sebastian Vettel
Meanwhile there was no crashes or retirements in the race anywhere with the biggest moment being Will Stevens having a big spin at 130R. He had no damage and he ended up facing the right way and only lost a little bit of time. Daniil Kvyat struggled throughout the race with bad brakes and he was really struggling. Felipe Nasr didn't finished but was classified as he completed 90% race distance. This means it is only the 5th time in Formula 1 that there hasn't been a retirement from a race.

Overall the order finished:

1) Lewis Hamilton - Mercedes
2) Nico Rosberg - Mercedes
3) Sebastian Vettel - Ferrari
4) Kimi Raikkonen - Ferrari
5) Valtteri Bottas - Williams-Mercedes
6) Nico Hulkenberg - Force India-Mercedes
7) Romain Grosjean - Lotus-Mercedes
8) Pastor Maldonado - Lotus-Mercedes
9) Max Verstappen - Toro Rosso-Renault
10) Carlos Sainz - Toro Rosso-Renault
11) Fernando Alonso - McLaren-Honda
12) Sergio Perez - Force India-Mercedes
13) Daniil Kvyat - Red Bull Racing-Renault
14) Marcus Ericsson - Sauber-Ferrari
15) Daniel Riccardo - Red Bull Racing-Renault
16) Jenson Button - McLaren-Honda
17) Felipe Massa - Williams-Mercedes
18) Alexander Rossi - Manor-Ferrari
19) Will Stevens - Manor-Ferrari
20) Felipe Nasr - Sauber-Ferrari

The best race for me went to Nico Hulkenberg who finished in 6th place after starting from 13th on the grid. He was one driver who really stayed out of trouble and ran his own race which saw him pick up some points which Force India desperately needed since Lotus have just had a double points finish. Sergio Perez couldn't back Hulkenberg up after a lap 1 puncture ruined his race.

As I just said, Lotus also drove a great race after having problems all weekend with money. It will be a big confidence boost for the team to see they are still capable of scoring points, and to have both drivers doing it will put a smile on everyones face.

Toro Rosso also managed to have a double points finish in 9th and 10th with Max Verstappen getting the better of Carlos Sainz. They drove well and Sainz did very well after needing a wing change on his 2nd stop.

Williams really lost out at the top with Massa's race being ruined 10 seconds into the race and Bottas losing 3rd, then losing 4th and eventually only managing 5th. Ferrari definitely showed Williams that they have the better long run pace.
Felipe Massa received a puncture on lap 1.
The best battle of the race was for 12th position between Ericsson, Perez and Kvyat. Ericsson on older tires managed to hold off the very quick Perez and Kvyat for many laps until he ran a little wide at spoon, and Perez needed no other invitation, getting ahead before 130R. It was the first of many moves that stuck for Perez. Kvyat followed laps later through the chicane as Ericsson let through Raikkonen.

More to follow on the Japanese Grand Prix

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Saturday, 26 September 2015

2015 Japanese Grand Prix - Practice 3 Analysis: Ricciardo gives Red Bull a fighting chance

The final practice session for the 2015 Japanese Grand Prix has ended and to the delight of almost everybody the rain stayed away. We finally saw roughly what the pecking order would be for qualifying and Mercedes managed to up one on there Ferrari counterparts.

The session saw Nico Rosberg finish on top with a lap time of 1:33.995, 3 tenths ahead of team mate Lewis Hamilton. The blood red Ferrari couldn't match the Mercs in the qualifying runs as they found themselves a full second adrift in P6 and P8. To be fair though Sebastian Vettel (P8) lost a lot of time on his lap from Daniil Kvyat. However when Mercedes and Ferrari ran there longer runs Sebastian Vettel appeared to be much faster than Lewis Hamilton, Nico Rosberg and Kimi Raikkonen, with 1 tenth separating all 4 drivers at one point. A difference between the two teams could be set up as Martin Brundle pointed out when he was track side at Degnar 1 and 2. He stated that the Ferrari looks "weak" through both Degnars. However these times aren't 100% representative as we can't be fully sure of the fuel loads that both teams ran.

Red Bull had a strong session on one side of the garage with Daniel Ricciardo finishing a very strong 3rd for the Milton-Keynes team. Results like these are what Red Bull need as they consider leaving the sport. Ricciardo drove 22 laps and as far as I was aware he didn't make any major mistakes during the run. He had pace on the hard tires as well as the mediums in the quali simulations. On the other side of the garage Kvyat was really struggling as he ran wide twice through Degnar 2. For me this will be a corner to watch for Kvyat in qualifying as it appears he isn't full on top of it. Ricciardo wasn't the only one strong on Hard tire runs though as 20 minutes in all 4 Renault powered cars were in the top 5.

Another consistent performer and surprise from FP3 was Williams who were in the top 6 when the Hard tires were being run. They then managed to keep that pace up when running the qualifying simulations. I did think Williams would be strong here as the mainly high speed and medium speed corners would suit there engine and chassis package. For them, Turns 11 (Hairpin) and 16, 17, 18 (Casino Triangle) will be important as they are the slowest and need good traction, something Williams have struggled with.

Once again Toro Rosso also prove to be relatively strong here with there high quality chassis. Toro Rosso would have been a very strong prospect if they had a better engine in the back.

Overall the session finished like this:

1) Nico Rosberg - Mercedes
2) Lewis Hamilton - Mercedes
3) Daniel Ricciardo - Red Bull Racing-Renault
4) Valtteri Bottas - Williams-Mercedes
5) Felipe Massa - Williams-Mercedes
6) Kimi Raikkonen - Ferrari
7) Max Verstappen - Toro Rosso-Renault
8) Sebastian Vettel - Ferrari
9) Romain Grosjean - Lotus-Mercedes
10) Carlos Sainz - Toro Rosso-Renault
11) Nico Hulkenberg - Force India-Mercedes
12) Jenson Button - McLaren-Honda
13) Marcus Ericsson - Sauber-Ferrari
14) Daniil Kvyat - Red Bull Racing-Renault
15) Pastor Maldonado - Lotus-Mercedes
16) Fernando Alonso - McLaren-Honda
17) Sergio Perez - Force India-Mercedes
18) Felipe Nasr - Sauber-Ferrari
19) Will Stevens - Manor-Ferrari
20) Alexander Rossi - Manor-Ferrari

Daniel Ricciardo was the star of the session and he is definately one to watch in qualifying. He was driving unbelievely fast in FP3 and outclassed his car. With Ferrari and Mercedes fighting for the pole, Ricciardo could throw a spanner in the works.



Friday, 25 September 2015

Japanese Grand Prix 2015 - Practice 2 Analysis: Kvyat puts Red Bull on top as they show strength in wet condtions.

Practice 2 for the 2015 Japanese Grand Prix has finished and once again we saw limited running as rain affected most of the session. Daniil Kvyat drove his Red Bull to the top of the time sheets and bettered the efforts of both Mercedes who followed closely in 2nd and 3rd.
Championship leader Lewis Hamilton.
The session started off with intermediate conditions and they looked to be improving to perhaps even have slick running. However that wasn't the case as with about 30 minutes to go in the session the rain picked up and we saw full wet conditions. This affected Fernando Alonso as the McLaren missed the inters running due to an unscheduled engine change which saw him miss the first hour of the session. He finished 18th with a time on the full wets.
McLaren's Fernando Alonso had a very disrupted session with an engine change.
Daniil Kvyat was the star of the session as he managed to finish ahead of two Mercedes that look back to normal. Even with many drivers struggling, there were little mistakes from the Mercedes team which makes Kvyat's lap more outstanding. Many people were struggling in the changeable conditions. Early on Sergio Perez was complaining of a lot of understeer and he couldn't match the initial pace of Kvyat. 18 minutes into the session Pastor Maldonado ran across the grass on the exit of Turn 2. It was a lazy mistake and it looks as though he was too busy adjusting settings on the wheel. Minutes later Sebastian Vettel ran wide at Turn 1 and came inches to beaching himself in the gravel trap. Then 41 minutes into the session Max Verstappen took a trip through the gravel at the hairpin (Turn 11) after he locked up going into the slowest corner on the Suzuka track.

Then running was really disrupted as the rain began to come down, and for a period of 10 minutes Fernando Alonso had the track to himself as he got in some valuable wet weather running. Towards the end of the session both Mercedes and Ferrari's joined him on the track as they practiced starts at the end of the pit lane.
Ferrari front wings.
Once again though most of these times are highly irrelevant as wet weather times can't reflect race pace in dry conditions on Sunday. This means that the most important session now becomes Saturday Practice 3 as teams will have a choice to check long run pace or simulate qualifying. The teams will probably opt for the long run pace to see if the option tire can run long enough too run the two stop strategy.

This is how the running finished:

1) Daniil Kvyat - Red Bull Racing-Renault
2) Nico Rosberg - Mercedes
3) Lewis Hamilton - Mercedes
4) Daniel Ricciardo - Red Bull Racing-Renault
5) Sebastian Vettel - Ferrari
6) Kimi Raikkonen - Ferrari
7) Carlos Sainz - Toro Rosso-Renault
8) Max Verstappen - Toro Rosso-Renault
9) Felipe Nasr - Sauber-Ferrari
10) Pastor Maldonado - Lotus-Mercedes
11) Nico Hulkenberg - Force India-Mercedes
12) Jenson Button - McLaren-Honda
13) Marcus Ericsson - Sauber-Ferrari
14) Sergio Perez - Force India-Mercedes
15) Romain Grosjean - Lotus-Mercedes
16) Felipe Massa - Williams-Mercedes
17) Fernando Alonso - McLaren-Honda
18) Will Stevens - Manor-Ferrari
19) Alexander Rossi - Manor-Ferrari

Valtteri Bottas (Williams-Mercedes) did not set a laptime.

As I said earlier these times are relatively irrelevant as the wet running cannot dictate the pace of the cars in the dry. Free Practice 3 will definitely be a session to watch! Catch it tomorrow!

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Wednesday, 23 September 2015

Japanese Grand Prix 2015 - Preview: Will Mercedes Singapore woes follow them to Suzuka?

With the 2015 Japanese Grand Prix just a few days away now, the Formula 1 season is really heating up. Lewis Hamilton goes into the race with only a 49 point gap to Sebastian Vettel's Ferrari. Mercedes were beaten on genuine pace in Singapore by both Ferrari and Red Bull. The team has no explanation, and all fans are wondering will this pace continue over to Suzuka?
Championship leader Lewis Hamilton
Theoretically this track should really balance the Ferrari and the Mercedes on pace. The problem is we aren't 100% sure whether Ferrari were fast in Singapore or Mercedes were slow. Martin Brundle stated that the altered layout in Singapore was about 5 tenths slower than the 2014 version. In 2014 Mercedes took pole with a time of 1:45.681, whereas in 2015 Hamilton set a 1:45.300. He was 3 tenths faster in 2015, which if you take the track change into account makes it a total of 8 tenths faster in 2015. However in the Hungarian Grand Prix's Nico Rosbergs 2014 pole time (1:22.715) vs Lewis Hamilton's 2015 pole time (1:22.020) its a 7 tenths difference. This to me shows that Mercedes continued with relatively normal pace in Singapore, which means Ferrari have made massive gains on the Silver Arrows.

So realistically Ferrari's form could continue in Suzuka. The track does suit a car that has a strong chassis which can grip to the left and right medium speed esses, whilst a car which can take fast corners like 130R at maximum speed. There is a need for a competitive power unit at Suzuka because of the long straight that precedes the penultimate right/left chicane, a good spot for overtaking. The Red Bull and McLaren's will find themselves on the end of many overtakes through the third sector.

Layout of the Suzuka Circuit
Suzuka won't fully discount Red Bull, but it definitely won't have them near the top of the field. Sector 1's twisty esses will suit the RB11 strong chassis, but the final sector's straight will put a lot of strain on the failing Renault power unit. Singapore was definitely a race the team targeted to go well at so expect potential for engine penalties here in Suzuka.

If Mercedes don't improve there pace from Singapore, Williams could be a team on par with them. The slow corner traction problems of the Williams (which has been there weakness all year) seemed be solved and that was clearly evident from Valtteri Bottas 5th place in Singapore. There are only a few slow corners in Suzuka (Turn 11 hairpin and Turn 17 chicane) and Williams will be hoping nail them.
Felipe Massa at the Singapore Grand Prix.
The battle for 5th will probably once again be advantage Force India as it clearly showed in Singapore the much stronger aero package they have over Lotus, Toro Rosso and Sauber. Lotus will then have the power unit advantage over Sauber (unless they are running the new Ferrari spec power unit, which I can't confirm at this stage) but Toro Rosso have showed that they have the chassis to deliver. We could see the unique situation where Toro Rosso get Force India in sector 1, but Force India will bounce back in sector 3 with the Mercedes power unit. The battle in the midfield for sector 2 will be an interesting one.

Sahara Force India driver Sergio Perez (MEX)
Honda will probably find themselves struggling and on level with Sauber. Manor will again occupy 19th and 20th.

This is how I roughly predict the pecking order to be in Qualifying for the Japanese Grand Prix.

1) Ferrari
2) Mercedes
3) Williams-Mercedes
4) Red Bull Racing-Renault
5) Sahara Force India
6) Toro Rosso
7) Lotus-Mercedes
8) Sauber-Ferrari
9) McLaren-Honda
10) Manor-Ferrari
The Japanese Grand Prix will begin on Friday the 25th of September and go through to Sunday the 27th of September. It is a 53 lap race which could have the potential to show both rain and shine. It will truly be a test of Mercedes and Ferrari.

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